- Through 20 games of his short career, running back Trent Richardson has a 3.5 YPC. It’s reasonable to think this may be it for Richardson and to possibly even sell high. Until he can prove he can take over games, he’s average.
- The merry-go-round continues in the Seattle receiving game as Golden Tate led the way this week with 11 targets followed by Doug Baldwin with nine. It will be interesting to see if Percy Harvin can step in and immediately take the targets away.
- Meanwhile, Colts receiver T.Y. Hilton had a breakout game with 140 yards and two touchdowns. He made the most of his six targets, grabbing five of them. He may finally be on the hook going forward and should be looked at in dynasty circles.
- Seahawks safety Earl Thomas continues his All-Pro season with 10 more tackles. For the season, he has 32 tackles, two forced fumbles, two interceptions, and three passes defended. At just 24, and in that defense, Thomas is a guy to get.
- On the other side of the field, Colts linebacker Jerrell Freeman added 13 tackles to bring his total for the season to 43. The tackle machine had 145 last year in his rookie year and should continue that production. However, Freeman started late and is already 27 after spending a few years in the CFL so grab him now if you’re going to get any production from him in dynasty leagues.
Monthly Archives: October 2013
Dynasty Recap – Week 5 – Chiefs stay unbeaten over Titans 26-17
- Running back Jamaal Charles continues to be the best running back in all of fantasy football. He even drew the most targets from noodle-arm Alex Smith. If he ever becomes available in your league, it doesn’t hurt to make an attempt at nabbing him.
- Meanwhile, Chiefs receiver Dwayne Bowe continues to go to waste beyond as he heads down field. He’s not a viable option in any type of league.
- With a complete lack of running game in Tennessee, look for the Titans receivers to get more looks. So far, it appears Kendall Wright will be the lead dog as he drew eight targets to go with six catches and 74 yards.
- Chiefs linebacker Justin Houston had another sack to bring his season total to 8.5. He continues to be an IDP stud, especially in big play leagues.
Dynasty Recap – Week 5 – Packers top Lions, 22-9
- Packers rookie running back Eddie Lacy had his best game of the year with 99 yards. With Jonathan Franklin coming back down to Earth, Lacy should be the man going forward.
- Matt Stafford dynasty owner saw what life was like without Calvin Johnson – 262 yards and one touchdown. And that’s against an average (at best) Packers defense. Stafford’s success is directly linked to Calvin Johnson so monitor accordingly.
- The same could be said for Reggie Bush owners too. Bush had 44 yards rushing and only 25 yards receiving.
- Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers did his best to spread the wealth as he had six targets or more to four different receivers (Nelson, Cobb, Jones, Finley). While one will never stand, head-and-shoulders, above the rest, any of them are a fine WR2 in dynasty circles.
- Lions linebacker DeAndre Levy continues to get better as he had 14 tackles, a tackle for a loss and a pass defended. At just 26, Levy is on pace for over 100 tackles for the first time this year to go along with the other stat sheet filler numbers. He’s not a bad LB2/3 to consider.
Dynasty Recap – Week 5 – Bengals stop Patriots, 13-6
- Quarterback Tom Brady went without a touchdown pass for the first time in four years. Luckily, it appears Rob Gronkowski will be back this week and all will be right with the world.
- Running back LeGarrette Blount ran for a respectable 4.3 YPC in his 12 carries for New England. Of course, he also fumbled in the game so don’t be surprised if Stevan Ridley gets another chance to lock down the position.
- On the other side of the field, Giovani Bernard had 13 carries compared to BenJarvus Green-Ellis’ 19. Dynasty owners can expect the back-and-forth routine this year but Bernard should be good for years to come.
- Bengals rookie tight end Tyler Eifert saw a career-high seven targets to go along with five catches and 53 yards. The changing of the guard could become official soon so now would be the time to jump on the Eifert bandwagon.
- Patriots linebacker Brandon Spikes had his best game of 2013 with 12 tackles, two tackles for a loss, a pass defended, and an interception. Spikes had a solid 2012 with 92 tackles but that appears to have been his ceiling. I’d sell high on Spikes right now.
Dynasty Recap – Week 5 – Ravens escape Dolphins, 26-23
- Baltimore committed to giving the ball to running back Ray Rice and they came through. Rice had 27 carries, more than double his season-high of 13, and had six catches on seven targets. Rice is still a top-tier dynasty running back so play him with ease.
- With no Anquan Bolden or Dennis Pitta, Torrey Smith is averaging a little over 10 targets a game to go along with 27 catches for 556 yards. It’s amazing what he’s been able to do with a lack of support and solidifies him as a dynasty stud going forward.
- Perennial boom-or-bust Dolphins receiver Mike Wallace had a ‘boom’ week with seven catches for 105 yards. Walllace, who’s never been consistent, along with an offense still trying to figure itself out doesn’t bode well for Wallace’s long-term prospects. Thanks to his big contract this off-season, he’ll get more chances but isn’t worth a long-term spot on your roster.
- Rookie Ravens linebacker Arthur Brown continues to underwhelm and had only one tackle this week. Brown was drafted to take over Ray Lewis’ old spot on the inside but has yet to outplay veteran Daryl Smith. Smith will most likely be gone after this year as he was only signed to a one year deal so look for Brown to move in to the starting lineup in 2014. He’s a buy-low candidate.
Dynasty Recap – Week 5 – Eagles down Giants, 36-21
- With Giants quarterback Eli Manning averaging a whopping 40 pass attempts a game, the targets are coming in droves. This week it was Rueben Randle leading the way with 13 to go with six catches and 96 yards. With Hakeem Nicks expected to leave via free agency this year, Randle is the heir apparent to Nick’s spot and should be targeted in dynasty circles.
- Running back David Wilson had only six carries before leaving with an injury. On the season, Wilson is averaging 3.3 YPC after averaging 5.0 last year. Now could possibly be the best time to pick Wilson off as a buy-low candidate from those fed up with his lack of production.
- Eagles receiver DeSean Jackson is back to his usual boom-or-bust self with seven catches for 132 and a touchdown. He seems to be the favorite no matter who’s at quarterback, totaling 12 targets when the next highest total was LeSean McCoy at eight.
- Speaking of targets, rookie Zach Ertz had a career-high three targets and two catches. It remains to be seen where Ertz will fit in as incumbent Brent Celek is still entrenched as the starter and has three more years on his contract. Ertz could also be a buy-low candidate.
- Quarterback Nick Foles will audition for teams as he takes over for the injured Mike Vick. However, it would seem that, with so many quarterback in 2014’s rookie class, Foles won’t necessarily be able to cash in a la Matt Flynn. I don’t see Foles breaking out.
Dynasty Recap – Week 5 – Saints escape Bears, 26-18
- If you were late to the Alshon Jeffery party, don’t bother showing up. He’s not going anywhere in dynasty circles. And at 23, compared to Brandon Marshall’s 29, Jeffery could be the man very soon.
- Chicago running back Matt Forte has been a top three running back in fantasy this year. If you’re close to a championship. If you’re not, now’s the time to sell high. Forte is 27 and has worn a lot of tread off those tires.
- Saints rookie safety Kenny Vaccaro had another solid outing subbing in for Roman Harper. He filled up the state sheet with six tackles, one sack, and one pass defended. Vaccarro is a defensive back to watch for years to come with the Saints bend-not-break defense.
- Chicago veteran linebacker Lance Briggs had another stellar outing with 14 tackles, a sack, and three tackles for a loss. As mentioned in our recent PFF article, now may be the time to sell high on Briggs. The 32-year old is only under contract through 2014 and, depending on how Chicago finishes this year, big changes could be in store.
Dynasty Recap – Week 5 – Browns beat Bills, 37-24
- Running back C.J. Spiller had only eight carries and no targets while battling through injuries. Even though Spiller has shown he can carry the load, Buffalo still doesn’t take advantage. His carries for the first five games have totaled 17-16-10-23-8 while getting no catches the last two games. He’s still the long-term solution so he might make an ideal buy-low candidate.
- Meanwhile, quarterback E.J. Manual‘s play has gradually declined since a solid two weeks to start the season and will now be out a few weeks with a knee injury. While Manual is the long-term solution in Buffalo, there might be a half-dozen quarterbacks for you to consider drafting in dynasty circles in 2014 that offer more than Manual.
- Cleveland’s running game averaged less than 3.0 YPC. Keep an eye on whoever takes over that role next year as they HAVE to be better than what they have now.
- Buffalo rookie receiver Robert Woods had 13 targets with five catches for 64 yards. He was working well with Manual at quarterback and should continue that when Manual comes back. He’s at the top of the rookie receiver class at the moment.
- Cleveland receiver Josh Gordon had four catches for 84 yards while trade talk swirls. No matter if Gordon gets shipped off, or sticks around Cleveland with a new, presumably better, quarterback, next year, Gordon is a worthy gamble.
- Buffalo linebacker Kiko Alonso continues his great rookie season with 12 tackles.
- On the other side of the field, Barkevious Mingo had four tackles, one pass defended and, more importantly, four quarterback hits, any of which could have been a sack. Mingo continues to disrupt the backfield in his rookie season.
Daily Dynasty Update – October 2nd
Hump day update:
- The Rams re-signed linebacker Jo-Lonn Dunbar yesterday and is expected to start immediately. Dunbar had a decent year last year with 114 tackles, 4.5 sacks, and four passes defended. At 28, Dunbar isn’t a bad option as a LB3 or LB4.
- Houston still plans to give running back Ben Tate 12-15 carries this Sunday, keeping hope alive that he’ll still share some of the running duties. Tate’s appeal is more in what he’ll do next year for dynasty owners as he’s expected to land a starting job somewhere.
- Jaguars receiver Justin Blackmon is set to return to the field after a four game suspension. With all signs pointing to Jacksonville taking a quarterback in next year’s draft, Blackmon’s stock is probably at its lowest point now that it ever will be again. See what it takes to get him in your dynasty leagues and pray Jacksonville does the right thing.
- Patriots receiver Danny Amendola is set to return from injury which means Julian Edelman’s role as a target machine will probably decrease. A free agent after this year, Edelman has probably peaked in dynasty fantasy value (unless Amendola gets hurt again which is entirely possible).
Have a good Wednesday everyone!
Dynasty Recap – Week 4 – Saints beat Dolphins, 38-17
- Miami tight end Charles Clay had a solid day with six catches for 42 yards and a touchdown. If your league classifies him as a tight end, he could be worth a stash long-term. Incumbent Dustin Keller blew out his knee in pre-season and is a free agent and rookie Dion Sims is better utilized as a blocker.
- Dolphins receiver Mike Wallace continues to struggle. He only caught three of his seven targets, which doesn’t quiet the notion that him and Ryan Tannehill are having communication issues. It was curious that Miami signed Wallace for their west coast offense in the first place. With the team succeeding, it’s doubtful there will be a change in regime/scheme anytime soon.
- Saints undrafted rookie Khiry Robinson led the team in carries with 12. He had only 37 yards but it bodes well that the team trusted him that much for the inevitable departure of Mark Ingram. Robinson is a guy to watch for deep dynasty leagues.
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