Dynasty Recap – Week 7 – Rams 24, Browns 6

Rams

  • It was the Todd Gurley show with 128 yards and two touchdowns on the ground plus four catches for 35 yards. He might be the top running back in dynasty.
  • Receiver Tavon Austin continues to give some value as a WR3/4 with four catches for 43 yards while leading the team in targets with seven. He’s finally being used as he should and it’s paying off, slowly but surely.

Browns

  • The running game is a mess with three players getting between five and eight carries. No one there is worth monitoring for dynasty purposes.
  • One of the few bright spots this season has been tight end Gary Barnidge. He had six catches for 101 yards. He’s in his last year of his current contract so it remains to be seen if he stays in Cleveland. But if so, he could keep these numbers up beyond this season.

Updated Dynasty Wide Receiver Rankings – June 2015

Complete updated dynasty wide receiver rankings can be found here.

  • Top five remains the same with Dez Bryant, Julio Jones, Antonio Brown, A.J. Green, and Demaryius Thomas. 
  • Top movers this month include rookie Nelson Algholor to 24th from 27th; rookie Devin Funchess to 57th from 60th.
  • Top drops include Percy Harvin from 38th to 41st; Doug Baldwin from 69th to 74th; Markus Wheaton from 73rd to 76th; Tavon Austin from 74th to 78th; Josh Huff from 76th to 79th; Steve Smith from 77th to 80th.

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Updated Dynasty Wide Receiver Rankings – October 2014

Complete updated wide receiver rankings here.

  • BenjaminTop five  remains  the same with Calvin Johnson, Dez Bryant, and A.J. Green staying the same. Julio Jones and Demaryius Thomas swapped fourth and fifth.
  • Big risers this week include Kelvin Benjamin to 18th from 37th; Emmanuel Sanders to 42nd from 56th; and John Brown to 60th from 72nd.
  • Big drops this month include Larry Fitzgerald at 28th from 21st; Tavon Austin to 45th from 34th.

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Daily Dynasty Update – July 23rd

Dynasty Recap – Week 10 – Rams scorch Colts, 38-8

  • Colts receiver T.Y. Hilton had another great day with seven catches on eight targets for 130 yards. Even as the primary receiving option, Hilton can’t be stopped.
  • Colts tight end Colby Fleener had 10 targets but only hauled in four catches for 33 yards. With Reggie Wayne out for the season, this is Fleener’s time to make himself indispensable before Dwayne Allen’s return next year.
  • Rams rookie receiver Tavon Austin had two catches for 138 yards and two touchdowns to go along with a punt return for a touchdown. I’d like to think of this as the beginning of a great fantasy career but Austin only had the two catches. Personally, I need more consistency before making a serious commitment.
  • The Rams defensive linemen duo of Robert Quinn and Chris Long had a combined eight tackles, three sacks and a fumble recovery returned for a touchdown. Either one will make a fine DL1 on dynasty teams.

Dynasty Recap – Week 5 – Rams down Jaguars 34-20

  • Jaguars receiver Justin Blackmon came back in a big way after serving a four game suspension with five catches and 136 yards. He’ll be safe to use going forward while, hopefully, the Jags can upgrade at the quarterback position so he can be even better.
  • Rams rookie running back Zac Stacy ran for 78 yards on 14 carries before leaving the game early. His 5.6 YPC was in-line with other running backs against the Jags this season so there’s hope that Stacy can produce at league minimum. The Rams next game against Houston will determine that.
  • On the other side of the field, Jaguars running back Maurice Jones-Drew had 70 yards on 17 carries to go with three targets. Should he be traded this year, his value would improve but for 2013 only. Beyond this year is a question mark so be cautious.
  • The Rams passing game is still sorting itself out with the most targets going to Chris Givens with seven while no receiver had more than four catches. Until somebody steps up, it’s a passing game to avoid, including Tavon Austin.
  • On the defensive side of the ball, both Rams defensive ends had productive days. Chris Long had a sack and two tackles for a loss while Robert Quinn had a tackle for a loss to go along with two quarterback hits. Either one is a fine option as a dynasty defensive lineman.
  • Across the field, Jaguars safety John Cyprien had 13 tackles and is now on pace for over 100 tackles for the year. The rookie could be good for a long time.

2013 Dynasty Rookie Rankings Big Board – Round 1 (1st Edition)

The time is (almost) here. Your dynasty fantasy football draft. Where you can finally put all your Madden Franchise mode skills to use. Unlike re-drafts, where the choices are obvious, you’re playing GM to your very own franchise. You have to take into account need, potential, opportunity and, most of all, skill. Let’s see who DFFC would take in an IDP, 12-team PPR league:

Round 1, Pick 1 – RB-Le’Veon Bell (PIT) – After finishing 26th in rushing, Pittsburgh needed an injection of talent in the running game. After long-time incumbent Rashard Mendenhall moved on Pittsburgh determined that holdovers Isaac Redman and Jonathan Dwyer are not suited for the top spot. Enter Bell. At 6′ 1″ and 230 pounds, the Michigan State product can be a punishing runner. Pittsburgh is also implementing a zone-blocking scheme along the lines of Mike Shanahan’s offenses in Denver and now Washington that will allow Bell to see the holes created by his lineman and strike where convenient. Bell is already penciled in as the starter and has a chance to become the rare rookie that contributes both now and later.

Round 1, Pick 2 – RB-Eddie Lacy (GB) – The Bruiser from ‘Bama was thought to be the top running back in the NFL draft but fell to 61 and Green Bay. With little (to no) competition, Lacy has been able to establish his starter status after some impressive practicesBecoming what New Orleans had hoped for fellow ‘Bama running back Mark Ingram appears to be the goal – someone who can convert the 3rd and 1, 1st and Goal, etc. However, there are some real concerns with Lacy’s long-term health which caused several teams to refrain from taking him in the NFL draft. Lacy’s doctors insist he’ll be ok but it’s still something to watch. If healthy, Lacy will be a fine compliment to the passing attack of Aaron Rodgers and co. He, like Bell, has a chance to be a contributor very early in his career.

Round 1, Pick 3 – RB-Giovani Bernard (CIN) – The first running back taken in the draft, Bernard is probably the most explosive. He’s being compared to Ray Rice thanks to his short stature but big build and versatility. He’s so versatile the Bengals even have him lining out wide. Skill-wise he’s set but it’s all about opportunity. BenJarvus Green-Ellis was signed in 2012 to a three-year contract. He could aways be cut earlier but chances are they’ll let his contact run out after 2014 and block Bernard’s path to an everyday role. The hope is Green-Ellis falls flat and they turn the ball over to Bernard sooner than expected. At the moment, he’s a RB3, at best, but could be up to RB1 by the end of the season.

Round 1, Pick 4 – RB-Montee Ball (DEN) – Drafted in the second round out of Wisconsin, Ball was probably the most experienced of the running back class after almost 1,000 attempts in college. He entered a high-powered offense but a crowded backfield. Knowshon Moreno has had four years to show he’s not the long-term answer but Denver will still use him sparingly. It’s Ronnie Hillman that’s blocking Ball’s path to fantasy greatness. Hillman was drafted in the 3rd round of last year’s draft and has ‘earned’ the starting spot. He’s currently the 1A to Ball’s 1B which sounds eerily familiar to Coach John Fox’s last team where the Panthers refused to favor one of DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart. Fantasy owners don’t need to be reminded of that hot mess. It’s ok to draft Ball but don’t expect a workhorse role for at least a year.

Round 1, Pick 5 – WR – DeAndre Hopkins – In the first upset of the first round, I have Houston first round pick DeAndre Hopkins as the first receiver off the board. At 6′ 1″ and 214 pounds, Hopkins fits the mold more as a long-term receiver than Tavon Austin. Drafted by Houston, he was the immediate favorite for the ‘Z’ position and has not disappointed. He had a fantastic week of camp, including a 40-yard bomb, and has already established the trust of the coaching staff. There is no one to challenge him as the heir apparent and he’ll get the benefit of learning from one of the best (very Terrell Owens-esque). He’s already slated for at least 50 catches his rookie year with that number sure to grow. Grab him early, grab him often.

Round 1, Pick 6 – TE-Tyler Eifert (CIN) – With more NFL offenses utilizing their tight ends as receivers, expect more rookie tight ends to be drafted higher.  Tyler Eifert, drafted in the first round in 2013 is first up. Even though Cincinnati had an established tight end, and not necessarily a bad one, they still opted to draft the Notre Dame product. He’s lining up wide and catching passes in traffic which is music to dynasty fantasy owners ears. And with the likes of Jimmy Graham and Rob Gronkowski going in the first or second rounds of drafts, Eifert could be right up there with them and soon. There’s no doubt that tight end is the position with the most disparity between first and worst. If you can grab a difference maker, you take him. Eifert could be that.

Round 1, Pick 7 – WR-Kenbrell Thompkins (NE) – Who? Exactly. Thompkins went undrafted this year and only earned a spot because of the massive upheaval in New England’s receiving corps. But boy is he making it count. Not only is a vertical threat but has shown signs of being a possession receiver as well. Of course, it always helps when you’re on the same page as Tom Brady. Brady threw the ball 637 times last year and with four of his top five receivers gone, the competition for targets is wide open. Thompkins has been the most impressive so far. Impress your friends and take him.

Round 1, Pick 8 – RB-Christine Michael (SEA) – Michael’s the first player off the board not walking into an obviously advantageous position but he could be thrown into one soon. Michael was a first round talent but fell to the second due to off-field issues. His tough, explosive running style is an ideal fit in Seattle and not that much different from incumbent Marshawn Lynch. But Lynch has his own off-field issues to deal with which could propel Michael to the starting lineup. Current backup Robert Turbin is just now getting back on the field so if Michael continues to impress, this first-round talent could be the recipient of Seattle’s powerful running game. The upside is huge.

Round 1, Pick 9 – WR-Tavon Austin (STL) – The highest receiver drafted at #8 overall, Austin is going to be a ping-pong ball and bounce all over the place. Out wide, in the slot, in the backfield. It’s just a shame he’s heading into an offense of such uncertainty. Sam Bradford is in a make-or-break year, they appear to have full-blown RBBC on their hands and there’s no skill position players coming back to estabslish some sort of consistency after the departure of Steven Jackson. Don’t get me wrong, he’s justified his draft position. But throw in the fact that Brian Schottenheimer is his OC, he of the almost 500 rush attempts last year, and the passing game is even murkier. Austin is a talent but doesn’t enter the best situation. And at this point, opportunity is half the battle.

Round 1, Pick 10 – QB-E.J. Manuel (BUF) – The first quarterback taken in the NFL draft, Manuel should also be the first quarterback off dynasty fantasy boards. Manuel is a big boy at 6′ 5″ and 230 pounds. He’s the captain of the rebuilding effort of the Buffalo franchise and should be given plenty of opportunities. Just the fact that he’ll be the starter in Buffalo at a minimum of 2-3 years props up his value since there’s only a finite number of starting quarterbacks in fantasy. His weapons are an asset as well as Buffalo has surrounded him with rookie receivers Robert Woods, Marquise Goodwin, Da’Rick Rogers and rookie tight end Chris Gragg. Throw in all-world running back C.J. Spiller and perennial 1,000 yard receiver Stevie Johnson and Manuel has no excuses. We’ll have to wait and see him in game action to determine if he’ll be a fantasy starter in years to come but Manuel is definitely in the right place in the right time.

Round 1, Pick 11 – TE-Zach Ertz (PHI) – Drafted in the second round, Ertz looked as if he walked into a less than ideal fantasy situation. New Philly coach Chip Kelly had been a run-first coach at Oregon and there were already two tight ends in front of him. Incumbent Brent Celek and free agent James Casey. Originally, Celek would have been the in-line tight end with Casey as the ‘move.’ However, Ertz has earned first-team reps in practice and is now predicted to have more catches and yards than either of the other two Philly tight ends after impressing the team. As with Eifert and Manuel, Ertz plays a position with a finite amount of quality players. Don’t be afraid to draft Ertz.

Round 1, Pick 12 – WR-Markus Wheaton (PIT) – Drafted in the 3rd round, Wheaton is the heir apparent to the departed Mike Wallace. However, he’s also been drawing comparisons to Hines Ward. Physically, both don’t/didn’t stand out but Wheaton has shown the ability to go over the middle and catch balls in traffic (at least in camp)Then comes the good news that Wheaton is already practicing with the first team and lining up in the slot or the outsideUsing Ward as a comp, I don’t think anyone would be disappointed in a guy with six 80+ receptions/1,000 yard seasons. His status may be murky this year but shouldn’t be after that.

Click here for a mock round two and be sure to follow us on twitter for your daily dynasty update!

Daily Dynasty Update – August 9th

It’s Friday. Which means you can do nothing but dynasty cheat sheets tonight. Let’s  get it on:

  • Tom Brady is feasting. Despite the massive turnover in receivers, Brady is still as locked in as ever. He’ll drop in dynasty league drafts but sure things are hard to come by. Don’t sleep on Brady. Plus, I think they’ll have to carry Brady off the field before he retires.
  • Oakland receiver Denarius Moore has been inconsistent in camp so far. Coach Dennis Allen even went as far as to say Oakland doesn’t have that ‘go-to’ guy. Yikes.
  • 8th overall pick Tavon Austin has looked excellent in Rams camp. It still remains to be seen exactly how he’ll be used but he’s sure to be involved. Also keep in mind that former Jet OC Brian Schottenheimer is now in St. Louis. The Jets didn’t exactly fling the ball around.
  • I take back any concern I had about Zach Ertz. He’s been lining up wide, making some great catches and showing why some teams thought he was the best tight end in the draft. Initially, it wasn’t clear where Ertz would wind up behind incumbent Brent Celek and free agent James Casey but locals are predicting he leads the position in catches.
  • Keenan Allen has yet to distinguish himself as a possible replacement at receiver in San Diego. Currently a later round pick, exhibition games will be the real test. Temper your expectations accordingly.
  • Rookie receiver Marcus Wheaton is doing all the right things in Pittsburgh camp. He’s going over the middle for catches a la Hines Ward. Combine that with his speed and Wheaton is a great prospect in dynasty leagues. Draft accordingly.
  • Ryan Broyles is a go in Detroit despite sitting out practice. A two-time ACL tear victim, Broyles is extremely fragile long-term but his position as the receiver opposite of Calvin Johnson in the most pass-happy offense in the NFL can’t be ignored. He’s worth a flyer and could be a tradeable asset down the road.
  • Maquise Goodwin has been better than advertised in his first camp in Buffalo. We looked at Goodwin in-depthGoodwin didn’t get much action in college at Texas but his 4.27 40-time made people take notice. He’s been working in the slot at out wide and catching absolute bombs. Goodwin is one of our favorite late round flyers for your taxi squad.
  • Rookie linebacker Sio Moore is currently the starter in Oakland. He’ll be on the strong-side. Currently at 42 in dynasty linebacker rankings, he can be bumped up.

Dynasty Rookie Wide Receivers – Part I

The latest wide receiver dynasty rankings show only three rookies in the top 40. These three were also, not coincidentally, drafted in the first round. The logic is if real NFL teams thought this highly of them, dynasty leagues should too. Let’s take a look.

  • Tavon Austin (STL) – The eight overall pick from West Virginia comes in with the most hype and the most intrigue. After Austin ran a 4.34 40 at the combine and St. Louis trading their 1st, 2nd, 3rd (getting a 3rd in return), and 7th round pick in a Madden-like move, reports indicated coach Jeff Fisher planned to use Austin all over the place. Even in the backfield a la Percy Harvin and Randall Cobb! He’s got a good, young quarterback throwing him the ball in Sam Bradford and, at the moment, is the man. On paper, it looked like everything was coming up Milhouse. But look a little closer and there are some concerns. First, the height. Of the top 20 receivers in yardage last year, none were the same as Austin’s 5′ 8″ and only two were 5′ 9″. The rest were 5′ 10″ and above with more than half 6′ or more. It’s extremely difficult to win match ups if you’re the shortest guy on the field. Secondly, the latest reports has St. Louis using a ‘spread the wealth‘ system a la the New Orleans Saints. Quarterback Drew Brees has averaged 620 pass attempts while completing 67% of his passes since getting to New Orleans in 2007. To date, the most passes Bradford has attempted has been 590 and the best percentage he had was 60%. By Brees’ third full season in the league, he was up to 65%. Furthermore, the best receiving season that was a product of the ‘spread the wealth’ system in New Orleans was Jimmy Graham and his ridiculous 99/1310/11 2012 season which, one could argue, is a result of his freakish 6′ 7″ frame and the matchup problems that ensue. For the record, 1,310 yards would have been good for 11th in the league last year. And this is the ceiling. The bottom line is Austin will be a good pick and has tremendous upside potential (TUP – it’s a thing, look it up). But exercise caution at Austin’s limitations. If you’re able to draft him early in your rookie dynasty drafts, I think you should. He’s definitely worth more than any of the quarterbacks and possibly most of the running backs out there simply because he’s a receiver in an offense that’s committed to him. But don’t mortgage the farm and give up proven assets. Austin is currently ranked 24th in our dynasty wide receiver ranks.
  • DeAndre Hopkins (HOU) – My personal favorite from this first batch is Hopkins who was drafted 27th overall by Houston. Hopkins is just the 4th offense player drafted in the first round by the Texans and the first receiver since the man he’s been groomed to replace, Andre Johnson. At 32, Johnson seemed to be on the downslope of his career but bounced back with a 112/1598/4 line last year. Houston surely doesn’t expect Johnson to keep that up heading into his mid-30’s so neither should dynasty leaguers. Thus the pick of Hopkins. It’s hard to find a negative report about Hopkins after running with the first team in OTA’sbeing compared to Rod Smith (and his 8-1,000 yard seasons), and being labeled as ‘special. The only drawback is the level of passing we can expect from Houston. Per TeamRankings.com, they ranked 24th last year in percentage of pass plays and 31st the  year before. Of course, those could change on a dime as evidenced by Houston ranking 11th in pass plays percentage in 2010 and 9th in 2009. Worst-case scenario is Hopkins finally gives Houston a second option in the pass game while they tap the break on the run plays. Best case is he develops into the next Andre Johnson and learns from the man himself. While Austin may edge Hopkins out because of the immediate impact, I wouldn’t lose sleep if I ended up with Hopkins. Hopkins is 30th in our wide receiver ranks.
  • Cordarrelle Patterson (MIN) – Patterson is the most raw of the bunch after spending one season in D-1. Minnesota ended up trading a Tavon Austin-style package (2nd, 3rd, 4th, and 7th) to New England to get him. Build-wise he stands at 6′ 2″ and 220 pounds and put on quite a show at the combine with a 4.42 40-time and 37″ vertical. The potential is sky high but that’s all we have at this point. Luckily, Minnesota does plan on easing Patterson into the system so there’s time for Patterson to pick it up. He also gets to learn from one of the game’s best route runners in Greg Jennings and have the best running back in the game to take the attention off. It’s a great situation for such a raw talent like Patterson. Now the downside. His quarterback is Christian Ponder who might, or might not, be around for the long term will need to step it up for Minnesota to get Patterson’s full potential. No more 18/12 TD:INT seasons. Either Ponder improves or Minnesota drafts or signs an upgrade but the status quo won’t work. Of course, this could all be for not and Patterson could be a giant bust. For dynasty purposes, I wouldn’t spend a first round pick on Patterson but would much rather get a runner or even a tight end like Tyler Eifert. I might even consider linebackers if you’re in a dynasty IDP league. But don’t sleep on Patterson if he starts to slip. He sits at 32 in our rankings.

For Part II click here. For Part III click here. Fort Part IV click here.