Daily Dynasty Update – January 21st

  • Falcons receiver Julio Jones is scheduled to be ready before training camp. That’s good news as Julio continues to be rated as a top-ten WR in dynasty leagues. He must stay healthy to stay there.
  • Patriots quarterback Tom Brady would like to see Julian Edelman back with the team in 2014. Dynasty owners of the free agent would to. New England is the only place where Edelman will retain his WR1 value in PPR dynasty leagues.
  • Look for the Bears to upgrade on Michael Bush at running back in the off-season. While initially, it may seem like a bad move for Matt Forte owners to have a more capable backup, it may lead to Forte lasting longer.
  • The Bills will hire a quarterbacks coach for the 2014 season in an effort to further along E.J. Manual’s progress. The Bills rolled without one last which was just one of the many issues the Bills offense had. The Chargers and Ken Whisenhunt are a good example of what happens when you hire a good offensive mind.

Updated Dynasty Tight End Rankings – January 2014, 2.0

Click here for updated dynasty tight end rankings.

  • We have a new top five with Jimmy Graham, Rob Gronkowski (injuries aside), new #3 Julius Thomas, Jordan Cameron, and Vernon Davis rounding it out.
  • Next up on the list is now second-year Washington tight end Jordan Reed, making a big leap from ninth to sixth. Other big risers include fellow second-year tight end Ladarius Green (from 16th to 11th) who will, presumably, take on a bigger role in San Diego next year. Also be on the lookout for Philadelphia’s Zach Ertz (from 22nd to 16th) who had three of his four biggest yardage games in the last five games of the season. Ertz has more talent than any other tight end on the Eagles roster and should be utilized more.
  • Dropping this time is Packers tight end Jermichael Finley from 14th to 18th due to the questions about his health and where he’ll end up next season. Other drops include the Giants Brandon Myers, who possibly had the most disappointing fantasy season in the tight end category, and Washington’s Fred Davis who was unseated by the previously mentioned Reed. Neither one shows bounce-back potential in 2014.

Dynasty Recap – NFC Championship – Seahawks escape 49ers, 23-17

  • 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick showed the good, the bad, and the ugly with 153 yards passing, one touchdown, two interceptions, 130 yards rushing and a fumble. Filled the stat sheet quite a bit but left fantasy folks more frustrated than ever before. Right now, it’s hard to give Kaepernick a QB1 grade until he can string good performances together.
  • Meanwhile, Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson had another day at the office, going 16 of 25 for 215 yards and a touchdown. If Kaepernick is the hare, Wilson is the tortoise.
  • Seahawks running back Marshawn Lynch ran wild (again) with 109 yards on 22 carries. Lynch will be in his age-28 season next year when, typically, running backs start breaking down. It wouldn’t be a bad idea to start fielding offers for Lynch in your dynasty leagues and sell high.
  • 49ers linebacker NaVorro Bowman was on his way to a spectacular game, finishing with 14 tackles and a sack before destroying his knee. The injury looked gruesome and is sure to effect his status heading in to next season. Here’s hoping the recovery goes well.
  • Seahawks safety Kam Chancellor had a great game with 11 tackles and two passes defended. He’ll be a solid DB1 heading in to next dynasty season and could make a claim for top DB overall.

Dynasty Recap – AFC Championship – Broncos beat Patriots, 26-16

  • Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning was incredible, going 32 of 43 for 400 yards, two touchdowns, and zero turnovers. There’s no doubt who the top quarterback in fantasy is and even in dynasty leagues, Manning should be viewed as a top-five QB. You’ll only get 1-2 years from him but it’s hard to ignore that production.
  • Patriots receiver Julian Edelman, seemingly the only receiver that did anything decent this year, produced again. He hauled in 10 catches for 89 yards and a touchdown. He finishes the year the team leader in targets, catches, and yards. Tom Brady has already pined for his return. If Edelman is back in New England, he’ll be a borderline WR1 in PPR leagues.
  • Broncos receiver Demaryius Thomas took advantage of an injured Aqib Talib with seven catches for 134 yards and a touchdown. As long as Manning is his quarterback, Thomas is a bona fide WR1.

Updated Dynasty Quarterback Rankings – January 2014, 2.0

Click here to view the updated dynasty quarterback rankings.

  • The top five remains the same with Rodgers, Luck, Brees, Newton, and Stafford. Luck did gain some ground though.
  • The Nick Foles rise has finally settled in at #10. I think you could do a lot worse with Foles as your QB1 in dynasty leagues.
  • Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers is the other big riser going up to 14th from 17th. Rivers found his touch again and has some exciting new weapons in Keenan Allen and Danny Woodhead. It will be interesting to see how he does with the recent departure of offensive coordinator Ken Whisenhunt.
  • Giants quarterback Eli Manning continues his downward slide to 19th from 15th. He will be losing receiver Hakeem Nicks in the off-season and has little-to-no running game for protection.

Daily Dynasty Update – January 18th

  • Rams running back Daryl Richardsonwidely expected to be the starter for 2013, was suffering from turf-toe the entire season which contributed to his lack of effectiveness. Despite his 3.1 YPC last year, the Rams will give Richardson another chance to prove his worth. No one is bumping incumbent Zac Stacy but Richardson could be a decent handcuff, if he recovers completely.
  • Current Packers running back James Starks could be an option for the Giants next year. Starks could possibly fill the void if David Wilson can’t make a complete comeback. This would dramatically increase Starks’ value over his current situation in Green Bay.
  • Another Packer that could make the leap to the Giants is tight end Andrew Quarless. The free agent is primarily an in-line tight end but did well in the passing game last year. He couldn’t be a whole lot worse than current Giants starter Kevin Boss who ranked 52nd among all tight ends last year, according to Pro Football Focus.

Dynasty Fantasy Football 2014 NFL Mock Draft

Introducing the inaugural DFFC 2014 NFL mock draft. In short, this is a dynasty leaguers dream year with more than 20 potential dynasty picks in the first round alone. Below is what DFFC sees happening in the NFL draft in May.

1.1 – Houston Texans – Teddy Bridgewater – QB – Louisville – Bridgwater appears to be the most NFL-ready quarterback in the draft and Houston is desperate to right the ship at that position. Bridgewater is  the safe choice for a team that could make a quick turnaround.

1.2 – St. Louis Rams (via Washington) – Johnny Manziel – QB – Texas A&M –With two picks in the first they have the luxury of affording a risk with their first pick. Bradford costs 14 million against the cap and Manziel may be better from day one.

1.3 – Jacksonville Jaguars – Jadeveon Clowney – DE – South Carolina – For a team that was dead last in sacks, defensive line help is a priority. Couple that with the fact that Jacksonville is desperate for talent in general and Clowney is an easy choice.

1.4 – Cleveland Browns – Blake Bortles – QB – UCF – They are praying for Manziel to make it here but fate isn’t on their side.  Bortles is the most talented QB left and makes some sense here depending on who the coach is. Big, strong-arm and tough are all things the front office values in a QB so Bortles is the pick.

1.5 – Oakland Raiders – Jake Matthews – OT – Texas A&M – Oakland has a lot of holes it could fill but quarterback is the most glaring. With the top-tier options already gone, it’s better to get value with this high of a pick. Oakland’s left tackles ranked 57th (Jared Veldheer) and 59th (Khalif Barnes) so the best player available also fills a big need.

1.6 – Atlanta Falcons  – Greg Robinson – OT – Auburn –The Falcons are pleased to have a choice between Robinson and Barr and decide to go with the OT. Robinson is an absolute mauler in the run game with the athleticism to be a premiere pass blocker as well. He should provide an immediate boost to the run game from day one.

1.7 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Anthony Barr – LB – UCLA – Tampa would be thrilled to pair, possibly, the top pass rusher in the draft with star-in-the-making Lavonte David and cut them loose. And with a division full of superstar quarterbacks, Tampa needs all the help they can get to contain them.

1.8 – Minnesota Vikings – Timmy Jernigan – DT – Florida State – Once coaches look through tape of this run stopping monster they are going to fall in love. With him and Floyd in the middle new coach Mike Zimmer has his version of the Williams wall to build around.

1.9 – Buffalo Bills – Eric Ebron – TE – North Carolina – Adding Ebron to the stable of young talent surrounding quarterback E.J. Manual will go a long way towards Manual’s development. Ebron, at 6′ 4″ and 245 pounds, is the best tight end prospect to come out of the draft since Vernon Davis and will be an excellent safety net for Manual.

1.10 – Detroit Lions – Sammy Watkins – WR – Clemson – The Lions have been looking for an explosive WR opposite Megatron for years and now they have one. They gave bigger needs at CB and LB but Watkins is just too good to pass up at this point.

1.11 – Tennessee Titans – Stephon Tuitt – DL – Notre Dame – Tennessee actually had a decent defensive output last year, collectively ranking 8th according to Pro Football Focus. But with the top-tier quarterbacks gone, and 11 a tad high for the first running back off the board, the Titans go for value with Tuitt. Tuitt is big enough to play inside but quick enough to play outside. He’ll add even more youth and flexibility to a good, young defensive front in Tennessee.

1.12 – New York Giants – C.J. Mosley – LB – Alabama – The Giants had by far the worst set of linebackers in the league and Mosley fixes that instantly. MLB with range and intelligence should be a ten-year starter for a defense that struggled last year. He’ll be one of the first rookie IDP-ers taken in your dynasty drafts.

1.13 – St. Louis Rams – Mike Evans – WR – Texas A&M – The selection of Evans completes the two-year make over of the Rams offense. His size and ability to go up and catch the ball is unparalleled in this draft. Pairing him with his college quarterback, Manziel, should excite St. Louis fans. It could be the Greatest Show on Turf 2.0.

1.14 – Chicago Bears – Khalil Mack – LB – Buffalo – The Bears get the best value of the first round in Mack at this spot. With Julius Peppers likely getting cut Mack can fill in at DE and immediately provide the pass rush the Bears need. He is a violent pass rusher and better against the run than you would expect for a guy his size.

1.15 – Pittsburgh Steelers – Taylor Lewan – OT – Michigan – The Steelers have done well to improve their offensive line in recent years. The drafting of David DeCastro went a long way to solidify the interior. The tackle position for Pittsburgh is another story. The top three tackles for Pittsburgh ranked 41st, 44th and 62nd among all tackles according to Pro Football Focus. Not good. Lewan can play at either the left or right tackle position and be an immediate upgrade.

1.16 – Baltimore Ravens – Kelvin Benjamin – WR – Florida State – Get ready to hear the term “catch radius” quite a bit. Flacco seems more comfortable throwing to larger targets and Benjamin is exactly that. The forty time will scare people but it shouldn’t. He knows how to high point and attack a ball and will be an excellent compliment to Torrey Smith allowing him to stretch the field.

1.17 – Dallas Cowboys – Justin Gilbert – CB – Oklahoma State – Taking any defensive player in the first round will be an upgrade for Dallas. Using any statistical measure possible, they were one of the worst defenses in the league in 2013. The highest cornerback ranked on Pro Football Focus’ ratings checks-in at 43 (Orlando Scandrick).The secondary has long been a sore spot and Gilbert should step in immediately as the top-ranked corner off the board.  The best part? No trading up to get him a la Morris Claiborne.

1.18 – New York Jets – Marqise Lee – WR – USC – The Jets need weapons in the worst way. Jace Amaro would make some sense here but a playmaker on the outside offers more upside and explosive plays which this offense completely lacked.  They are tied to Geno, for better or worse, so here comes the cavalry.

1.19 – Miami Dolphins – Carlos Hyde – RB – Ohio State – Hyde is a big boy and has the quickness to come with it. Checking in at 6′ and 235 pounds, Hyde isn’t easy to take down and also has the hands to be a featured back. Miami needs some consistency in the running game after throwing out Lamar Miller and Daniel Thomas to no effect. With Hyde, Miami can hit the reset button and give quarterback Ryan Tannehill a fighting chance.

1.20 – Arizona Cardinals – Zack Martin – OT – Notre Dame – Offensive line will be the main priority for the Cardinals. If they get Martin at this spot they will have solidified at least one side of the line with last years first rounder Jonathan Cooper coming back fully healthy as well.

1.21 – Green Bay Packers – Ha Ha Clinton-Dix – S – Alabama – Ranking near the bottom of passing yards allowed last year, Green Bay needs to solidify the secondary. Morgan Burnett is ensconced in one safety position after signing a five-year deal before the 2013 season. M.D. Jennings is a free agent and probably won’t be back after he was ranked as the 67th best safety last year, according to Pro Football Focus. Clinton-Dix checks in at 6′ 1″ and 209 pounds, giving him the size to be a bruiser but still the ball location skills needed to be an effective safety.

1.22 – Philadelphia Eagles – Calvin Pryor – S – Louisville – When watching Pryor play he explodes off the screen. A rangy and well-built safety is exactly what this Eagles back four needs. It also doesn’t hurt that he’s by far the most physical defensive back in this draft.

1.23 – Kansas City Chiefs – Jace Amaro – TE – Texas Tech – The Chiefs are already well-constructed and don’t have many glaring holes. However, tight end was a continual weak spot in 2013. They drafted Travis Kelce in the third round last year but lost him for the year due to injury. With a tight end available of Amaro’s ability, it would be too hard to pass up. It’s a well-known fact that Alex Smith is not a ‘gunslinger’ instead opting for short-to-medium routes. Having someone of Amaro’s playmaking ability to throw to will make life a lot easier.

1.24 – Cincinnati Bengals – Darqueze Dennard – CB – Michigan State – The Bengals have a number one corner coming off his second major leg injury. And then Pacman Jones and Terrance Newman. Not only does Dennard fill a hole but he is excellent against the run which Marvin Lewis will love.

1.25 – San Diego Chargers – Ryan Shazier – LB – Ohio State – The Chargers need a better pass rush and Shazier can get that to them in this spot. Ideally a weak-side linebacker, Shazier’s speed is his best attribute which he parlays into getting to the quarterback. With a lineup including Donald Butler and second-year linebacker Manti Te’o, San Diego can roll with a good, young linebacking corps.

1.26 – Cleveland Browns (via Indianapolis) – Cyrus Kouandijo – OT – Alabama – This may seem like a steep fall for the Alabama tackle but the national title game exposed what some people have feared for a while. He’s not great at handling speed off the edge and may have to move to the right side if it doesn’t improve.

1.27 – New Orleans Saints – Louis Nix III – DT – Notre Dame – The Saints defense vastly improved under new defensive coordinator Rob Ryan. One area that still needs to be addressed is the interior as the highest ranking defensive tackle for New Orleans checked in at just 41st (Brodrick Bunkly). Nix III is a great value here and is projected as an ideal nose tackle in a 3-4 defense.

1.28 – Carolina Panthers – Lamarcus Joyner – S – Florida State – Although undersized Joyner is an explosive tackler, great in zone coverage and excellent in run support. The Panthers need help in the secondary and this is the best CB available.

1.29 – New England Patriots – Jason Verrett – CB – TCU – With Pro-Bowler Aqib Talib set to become a free agent, depth is key in the Patriots secondary. While undersized at 5′ 10″, Verrett has 4.4 speed and good coverae skills which culminated in 16 passes defended this year along with six interceptions.

1.30 – San Francisco 49ers – Jarvis Landry – WR – LSU – A proven wide receiver from the SEC seems to fit the profile the 49ers love – great hands going over the middle; tough as nails; an excellent blocker in the run game.

1.31 – Denver Broncos – Scott Crichton – DE – Oregon State – Shaun Phillips has played well this year in Denver’s 4-3 scheme but he’s 32 and a free agent. Crichton checks in at 6′ 3″ and 265 pounds, with excellent speed off the edge.

1.32 – Seattle Seahawks – Davante Adams – WR – Fresno State – Adams was the prime beneficiary of Derek Carr’s coming out party at Fresno State. He finished the year with an amazing 131/1,718/24 line. He has the size (6′ 2″, 216) and speed (4.57) of a solid wide receiver in the NFL. His porous competition in college will be his biggest draw back.

Updated Dynasty Running Back Rankings – January 2014

Click here for updated dynasty running back rankings.

  • The top two remain the same as the Eagles LeSean McCoy takes the top spot with Jamaal Charles of the chiefs not far behind.
  • After that, rookies are making the most noise with the Packers Eddie Lacy shooting up to 4th from 10th. He proved he could carry the load in Aaron Rodgers absence. The Rams Zac Stacy enters the top ten after bursting on the scene halfway through the season. He’ll be the lead back in St. Louis in 2014. The Steelers Le’Veon Bell also moved up to 13th from 17th. He might be the focal point of Pittsburgh’s offense next season.
  • The big drops include the Ravens Ray Rice dropping from 8th to 14th largely due to his steep production drop this season. The hope is this season is an anomaly for Rice and not the norm. Colts running back Trent Richardson continues his fall from 12th to 17th. Don’t expect that to be the end for Richardson as I predict he’ll drop even further as the off-season goes on. Lions running back Reggie Bush also had a drop thanks to late season injuries and backup Joique Bell‘s emergence as a solid contributor.

Daily Dynasty Update – January 14th

  • Steelers receiver Markus Wheaton could triple his snaps if free agent Emmanuel Sanders doesn’t return. Wheaton was a decent rookie dynasty prospect heading in to 2013 but injuries and the Steelers conservative offense didn’t help. He’ll be one to monitor heading in to 2014.
  • Bills running back Fred Jackson thinks he has 3-4 more good years in him. Jackson surprisingly had more yards from scrimmage than C.J. Spiller this season and didn’t look like a 32-year old running back. Three years may be asking much but a year or two isn’t. If you’re needing to make a run with your dynasty team in 2014, Jackson could be a buy-low candidate.
  • While new Titans coach Ken Whisenhunt isn’t quite the quarterback whisperer that Bears coach Marc Trestman is, he’s still expected to improve Jake Locker’s game. I’m skeptical of a quarterback that’s had a few years to prove his worth and hasn’t. Locker has decent talent at receiver so he could be a decent QB2.