Dynasty Recap – Week 7 – Redskins 31, Buccaneers 30

Redskins

  • Kirk Cousins had one of the best games of his career with 317 passing yards and three touchdowns plus zero interceptions. Despite the game, it’s doubtful Cousins is the long-term solution for anyone.
  • Jordan Reed came back from injury with 11 catches for 72 yards and two touchdowns proving he can be a TE1 when healthy. So much risk however.
  • Rookie receiver Jamison Crowder continues to fill in nicely for the injured DeSean Jackson with five catches for 48 yards. He could be an interesting dynasty stash even when Jackson returns.

Buccaneers

  • Rookie Jameis Winston had a solid day with 297 yards and two touchdowns. He’s up to nine touchdowns on the season and should only get better with a healthy Mike Evans.
  • Doug Martin continues to bounce back with 136 yards on the ground plus three catches for 35 yards. He’s played like a RB1 this year but is a free agent after the season. You may want to sell high while you can.
  • Mike Evans had his best game of the year with eight catches for 164 yards and a touchdown. He’s struggled through injuries this year but should be back on track as a WR1.

Dynasty Recap – Week 4 – Panthers 37, Buccaneers 23

Panthers

  • Cam Newton continues to produce despite the lack of talent around him. He had only 124 passing yards but had two touchdowns through the air plus another 51 yards rushing. I have seen the light and it’s Newton. He’s a bona fide, elite QB1 in dynasty.
  • The only other standout performance would be linebacker Thomas Davis with 11 tackles and one interception. He’s a solid LB1 option in IDP dynasty leagues and should have at least 2-3 years left.

Buccaneers

  • Rookie quarterback Jameis Winston was bad with 287 passing yards and two touchdowns but four interceptions. Winston has to cut down the turnovers if he’s going to be a QB1.
  • Doug Martin had a nice bounce back game with 106 yards and a touchdown plus five catches for 37 yards. It was his best game of the year but we’d like to see a few more games like this to make Martin a reliable RB2.
  • Veteran receiver Vincent Jackson had a huge day with 10 catches for 147 yards and a touchdown. Jackson continues to be steady as a WR3 in dynasty leagues but you may want to sell high.

Updated Dynasty Running Back Rankings – October 2014

Updated running back rankings, in their entirety, can be found here.

  • murrayNew top five member this month with DeMarco Murray sneaking in at five. The top four remain the same with LeSean McCoy, Jamaal Charles, Eddie Lacy, and Gio Bernard. Doug Martin drops from four to eight.
  • Big risers this month include Mark Ingram to 33rd from 40th; Knile Davis to 44th from 52nd; and Ahmad Bradshaw sneaking up to 52nd.
  • Big drops include Adrian Peterson to 16th from 6th; Toby Gerhart from 30th to 37th; Maurice Jones-Drew to 50th from 42nd; Danny Woodhead to 53rd from 47th; Jonathan Stewart to 54th from 48th; Pierre Thomas to 55th from 49th; and Marcus Lattimore to 57th from 43rd.
  • Rookie movers include Carlos Hyde up to 18th from 23rd; Jeremy Hill to 29th from 35th; Isaiah Crowell to 40th from 57th; Jerick McKinnon to 41st from 54th; and Andre Williams to 42nd from 51st.

Be sure to follow us @dynasty_ffc.

Daily Dynasty Update – October 8th

  • reedRedskins tight end Jordan Reed may actually play this week. His stock has probably taken a hit in dynasty leagues due to the fact the can’t stay on the field. However, he is a good buy-low candidate.
  • Bucs coaches continue to claim that Doug Martin is safe but his production doesn’t show it. We can’t reasonably view him as a RB1 until he starts performing like one.
  • Vikings running back Adrian Peterson should be on trial as soon as December 1. Since that’s the earliest Peterson can clear his name, we don’t expect him to play this year. His future value is in serious doubt as well.

Be sure to follow us @dynasty_ffc.

Dynasty Recap – Week 2 – Rams escape Bucs, 19-17

  • New (?) Bucs running back Bobby Rainey ran wild with 144 yards on 22 carries plus three catches for 30 yards. With Doug Martin hurt, and in the dog house, Rainey should produce this year but we wouldn’t count on hims as a dynasty option…yet.
  • The good news for Zac Stacy owners is he carried the ball three times as much as Benny Cunningham. The bad news was it was only for 3.7 YPC and 71 yards total. Stacy continues to be a volume runner that shouldn’t be considered anything more than a RB2 in dynasty.
  • Rams receiver Brian Quick continues to have a strong outings, leading the team in targets, catches and yards with seven for 74 yards on nine targets. The Rams aren’t expected to contend this year which could lead to garbage time stats for Quick. Quick will be around St. Louis for at least one more year and could benefit even more with better quarterback play.

Updated Dynasty Running Back Rankings – July 2014

Complete dynasty running back rankings can be found here.

  • andersonTop five remains the same with LeSean McCoy, Jamaal Charles, Eddie Lacy, Doug Martin and Gio Bernard staying in that order.
  • The big movers this month include Broncos backup C.J. Anderson, who ended last season ahead of Ronnie Hillman, up to 59 after not being ranked; and Browns rookie Isaiah Crowell up to 57 from 62, who moves up after more talk of a committee in Cleveland.
  • The drops this month include Darren Sproles from 51 to 55 after assurances that LeSean will still get his; Kendall Hunter from 59 to 64 after it appears Carlos Hyde is most likely to take over Frank Gore’s carries; and LeGarrettee Blount from 61 to 65.

Updated Dynasty Running Back Rankings – June 2014

Click here for complete dynasty running back rankings.

  • Pittsburgh Steelers v Cincinnati BengalsTop five has a new guest with Gio Bernard entering at number five. The other four remains the same with LeSean McCoy, Jamaal Charles, Eddie Lacy, and Doug Martin. 
  • Big risers this month include a couple of rookies including Devonta Freeman up to 29 from 39 after an impressive rookie camp; James White up to 53 from 61 as a potential Shane Vereen replacement; Storm Johnson up to 57 from 69; and Isaiah Crowell up to 63 from 68.
  • The drops this month include more rookies – Tre Mason down to 34 from 29; Jeremy Hill to 38 from 33; Knile Davis to 55 from 49; and Jacquizz Rodgers to 69 from 64.

Daily Dynasty Update – June 4th

  • fosterArian Foster is expected to handle all passing down duties in Houston, much like he did before. It’s an endorsement of Foster from new coach Bill O’ Brien and makes Foster an interesting buy-low candidate.
  • Bengals tight end Tyler Eifert is sitting out OTA’s with an injury. With this much time before the season starts, it shouldn’t be a concern but definitely something to monitor. However, with Hue Jackson now implementing a more rush-oriented offense and with Jermaine Gresham still around, Eifert’s dynasty value is not what it was a year ago.
  • Expect Tampa Bay to use multiple running backs even with Doug Martin returning from injury. It doesn’t mean he’s not a RB1 in dynasty leagues but definitely won’t challenge Jamaal Charles and LeSean McCoy for the top spot.

Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft, 2nd Edition

sankeyIt’s been a few weeks since the NFL draft and OTA’s are in full swing. Some rookies have made a big impression so far while others have yet to even see the field. However, with about three months until the season starts it’s time to start looking at where to take your rookies.

Below is the second edition of the Dynasty Fantasy Football Central, mock draft:

The rules are:

  • Two rounds
  • 12-teams
  • PPR (1.0 point per reception)
  • Four points per passing touchdown

We’ll look at where these players were taken in our initial, IDP draft for some comparisons.

1st Overall Pick – Sammy Watkins, WR – Buffalo Bills (Previous position: 1st overall) – Not much has changed on the Watkins front. Barring some positional needs in your draft, Watkins should be going first overall. His combination of ability and size are unmatched and his value shouldn’t be hindered by the quarterback position. Either Manual will progress now or Watkins can look for another quarterback later.

2nd Overall Pick – Mike Evans, WR – Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Previous position: 2nd overall) – Evans ran in to a tough situation in Tampa where he’s surrounded by above average players at every skill position: Vincent Jackson, Doug Martin, even fellow rookie Austin Seferian-Jenkins. There’s also concern that Tampa will be a run-heavy team, taking away chances from Evans. But his talent is too tough to ignore at this point.

3rd Overall Pick – Bishop Sankey, RB  – Tennessee Titans (Previous position: 14th overall) – The first running back off the board, Sankey has come a long way since our first mock draft. Sankey is widely expected to be the only rookie starting in Week One due to no competition in Tennessee. Shonn Greene is recovering from knee surgery and Dexter McCluster is exclusively a receiving back. Jake Locker is his quarterback, for now, but that should change next year which can only improve his situation.

4th Overall Pick – Brandin Cooks, WR – New Orleans Saints (Previous position: 7th overall) – The Saints traded up for Cooks and plan to use him primarily in the slot. With Lance Moore and Darren Sproles gone, there’s a lot of targets to go around. Cooks is also only 20 which bodes well for his dynasty value. He’s a short, dynamo that will burn the turf in New Orleans.

5th Overall Pick – Eric Ebron, TE – Detroit Lions (Previous position: 3rd overall) – The first tight end off the board, Ebron has loads of talent but enters a crowded lineup. Not only will he compete for targets with Calvin Johnson but the Lions signed Golden Tate, re-signed tight end Brandon Pettigrew and have emerging tight end Joseph Fauria. In short, Ebron might struggle the first year but the situation should shake itself out by 2015. If Ebron can address the slight concern some have about his hands, he could be a top-tier tight end.

6th Overall Pick – Jordan Matthews, WR – Philadelphia Eagles (Previous position: 6th overall) – Picked exactly where he was last time and with good reason. Matthews enters a high-octane offense where he’s expected to immediately man the slot. Beyond this year, there’s no guarantee Jeremy Maclin will be back and Riley Cooper is an average talent. With Nick Foles and Chip Kelly around, Matthews should shine.

7th Overall Pick – Odell Beckham, Jr., WR – New York Giants (Previous position: 9th overall) – The third receiver taken in the NFL draft, ODB is the fifth receiver taken in this mock draft. Pro-ready, he steps in to the starting lineup in New York where the Giants offense is expected to go pass heavy. There is little competition for targets opposite Victor Cruz and Beckham should contribute right away.

8th Overall Pick – Marqise Lee, WR – Jacksonville Jaguars (Previous position: 11th overall) – Lee moves up a few spots from the last draft and should top out about here. He has good measurables but also gets points for getting the start early. He’s manning Justin Blackmon’s old spot on the outside where it was a productive spot despite shaky quarterback play. Lee isn’t as talented as Blackmon but should stay on the field.

9th Overall Pick – Jace Amaro, TE – New York Jets (Previous position: 10th overall) – Amaro will have the best chance of any rookie tight end to contribute early. With an improved offense in New York, Amaro could greatly benefit and provide some impact himself. Strictly a ‘move’ tight end, he will have to work on his blocking to become a truly top-end tight end  in dynasty leagues. But he is quite the receiver and should have the stats to show for it.

10th Overall Pick – Kelvin Benjamin, WR – Carolina Panthers – (Previous position: 15th overall) – Perhaps the most polarizing pick in rookie drafts, Benjamin has the makings of a WR1 but could just as easily be a bust. He does have a great quarterback to be on the receiving end of and will have plenty of targets his way. However, with little support surrounding him, it could be difficult for him to learn.

11th Overall Pick – Carlos Hyde, RB – San Francisco 49ers (Previous position: 8th overall) – Hyde was widely considered the top running back in the NFL draft and was scooped up by one of the top running teams in the league. The only thing holding Hyde’s dynasty value back is the crowded backfield in San Francisco. However, Frank Gore is a free agent after 2014, as is Kendall Hunter. Marcus Lattimore is not all the way back leaving the door wide open for Hyde.

12th Overall Pick – Jeremy Hill, RB – Cincinnati Bengals (Previous position: N/A) – Our first big jump is the current second stringer in Cincinnati. Hill is a pro-ready blocker which will probably lead to BenJarvus Green-Ellis’ being cut. He’ll be the inside / goal-line option to Giovani Bernard but won’t cut into Bernard’s value. If anything, he’s a high-floor, low-ceiling option at running back.

13th Overall Pick – Devonta Freeman, RB – Atlanta Falcons (Previous position: 24th overall) – Another big jump was Freeman by a whole round. Freeman has shown enough pass block/catch ability early on to warrant third down work in Atlanta. And with as much as Atlanta is expected to pass, that could be worth something. For dynasty purposes, the current starter, Steven Jackson, is on the wrong side of 30 and could be cut next year to save nearly $4 million in cap space. There’s little competition to challenge Freeman which should mean plenty of work.

14th Overall Pick – Johnny Manziel, QB – Cleveland Browns (Previous position: 17th overall) – The first quarterback taken in the mock draft, Manziel has a good shot to start early but could find himself short of a supporting cast. He’s got the arm and is mobile but his height brings in to question if he can take the beating. However, in an average quarterback class, Manziel could end up being the best of the bunch.

15th Overall Pick – Teddy Bridgewater, QB – Minnesota Vikings (Previous position: 12th overall) – Bridgewater drops a little bit but should still end up starting week one. He has a ton of talent surrounding him and Norv Turner as his offensive coordinator. However, the concerns that made Bridgewater drop in the NFL draft need to be avoided in training camp before you take him in your rookie draft.

16th Overall Pick – Davante Adams, WR – Green Bay Packers (Previous position: 20th overall) – Adams moves up a bit thanks to more optimism that he’ll be able to contribute to the pass-heavy Packer offense. He led all of college football in receptions and touchdowns thanks to great hands and leaping ability. That should translate to the NFL. He’s currently fourth on the depth chart but Jordy Nelson is a free agent after 2014.

17th Overall Pick – Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TE – Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Previous position: 4th overall) – ASJ joins a suddenly deep roster of skill position players. He’ll easily pass 2013 surprise Tim Wright but will still be behind Vincent Jackson, Mike Evans, and maybe even Doug Martin. However, his talent should win out in the end.

18th Overall Pick – Cody Latimer, WR – Denver Broncos (Previous position: 22nd overall) – Latimer is big and has great hands and enters one of the best passing offenses in the league. However, he’ll start no higher than fourth on the depth chart for 2014. For 2015, Wes Welker will most likely be gone while Emmanuel Sanders could easily be cut. If Latimer could be the new Eric Decker in Denver, Latimer could flirt with WR1 status.

19th Overall Pick – Blake Bortles, QB – Jacksonville Jaguars (Previous position: 16th overall) – Bortles drops a bit thanks to Jacksonville’s insistence on sitting Bortles for most, if not all, of 2014. Bortles offers the most upside of the quarterbacks in this year’s class but has a lot of learning to do. He’s also surrounded by talented receivers which will make it easy to catch up. If you have a deep roster or taxi squad, Bortles could be an option.

20th Overall Pick – Ka’Deem Carey, RB – Chicago Bears (Previous position: N/A) – Carey will start the season as Matt Forte’s primary backup and should be able to take some of the load off. He didn’t have a great combine but did show a lot of ability in college. With Forte getting a year older, a long-term solution is needed in Chicago.

21st Overall Pick – Charles Sims, RB – Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Previous position: N/A) – Sims has good pass catching ability and could get some work in early in Tampa. With Doug Martin in Tampa, Sims will probably never be a featured back but will have value in PPR leagues. However, Tampa may not be as pass-heavy as others so his ceiling is limited.

22nd Overall Pick – Tre Mason, RB – St. Louis Rams (Previous position: 23rd overall) – Mason doesn’t have the size or ability to be a featured back but could provide some change-of-pace for incumbent Zac Stacy. He does appear to have more talent than other Rams running backs Isaiah Pead and Benny Cunningham but could still struggle to find carries as a rookie. His ceiling and floor are pretty limited.

23rd Overall Pick – Terrance West, RB – Cleveland Browns (Previous position: N/A) – West has drawn comparisons to Alfred Morris thanks to his small school background and cutback ability. He also doesn’t face much competition even with the signing of Ben Tate after the Browns traded up for him. Tate is only on a two-year deal and the Browns have a young, good offensive line. He’s an ideal late second round pick that could even make an impact this year.

24th Overall Pick – Donte Moncrief, WR – Indianapolis Colts (Previous position: N/A) – Moncrief has the tools and ability to be a top-end receiver and after an impressive combine, landed in Indianapolis. Moncrief will be a good pick at the end of the second round of rookie dynasty drafts with Reggie Wayne close to retirement and Hakeem Nicks playing on a ‘prove it’ deal.