- New Bengals offensive coordinator Hue Jackson plans on using running back Giovani Bernard more in the slot this season. This is just another reason why Bernard dynasty owners shouldn’t worry about rookie Jeremy Hill.
- New Jets running back Chris Johnson will probably be held out of OTA’s but should be ready to go for the beginning of 2014. Johnson’s dynasty stock has been rapidly declining since his 2,000 yard season and isn’t expected to get better in New York. He’s now in a timeshare with Chris Ivory with a ceiling of a RB3.
- Good news for Aaron Dobson, Danny Amendola and Julian Edelman dynasty owners as the Patriots are expected to move away from ’12’ alignments on offense and use more receivers. This is great news, especially for the younger Dobson.
Click here for complete dynasty tight end rankings, now with rookies.
- The top five remains the same with Jimmy Graham, Rob Gronkowski, Julius Thomas, Jordan Cameron, and Jordan Reed.
- Rookies new to the list include: Eric Ebron at 8; Austin Seferian-Jenkins at 14; Jace Amaro at 17; Troy Niklas at 26; Colt Lyerla at 38; C.J. Fiedorowicz at 40; and Richard Rodgers at 45.
- Some of the biggest drops this month include Tim Wright from 25 to 35 and Joseph Fauria from 28 to 41. Both had their respective teams draft tight ends pretty high which pushed them down the depth chart.
- There may be no bigger enigma in dynasty leagues this off-season than Arian Foster. When healthy, he’s a top-notch running back. The problem is keeping him on the field. If he can, his role in new coach Bill O’ Brien’s offense should will result in a lot of fantasy points.
- Thanks to new offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi’s time in New Orleans, the Lions are expected to look a lot like the Saints. In his time there, the Saints’ offense finished no worse than sixth. Grab any Lion you can before the 2014 dynasty season begins.
- The Bucs have done an about-face on Mike Glennon’s outlook with the team. He’s now expected to compete for the starting job and could possibly be the quarterback of the future. With the new-look offense in Tampa, he’s worth a stash and could be a decent buy-low candidate. He currently ranks 31st on DFFC’s dynasty quarterback rankings.
- Giants tight end Adrian Robinson is in a make-or-break season as he’s been left alone at the top of the depth chart. If new offensive coordinator, Ben McAdoo’s previous team is any indication, the tight end position will be pretty important. Robinson is the epitome of a buy-low candidate.
Click here for complete updated dynasty quarterback rankings now with rookies.
- No changes in the top five. It goes Rodgers, Luck, Newton, Stafford, Brees.
- Rookies entering the rankings for the first time include Teddy Bridgewater at 14; Blake Bortles at 15; Johnny Manziel at 19; and Derek Carr at 25. So none are quite QB1’s yet but could be serviceable QB2’s. For now.
- The inevitable fallout includes Eli Manning from 22nd to 27th; Alex Smith from 24th to 29th; Mike Glennon from 25th to 31st; Mike Vick from 30th to 36th; and Brian Hoyer from 32nd to 37th. A lot of it is age except for Glennon who suddenly had competition in Josh McCown.
Another question from the audience, this one from Peter:
Would you trade LeSean McCoy for Dez Bryant and Ryan Mathews?
PPR or not, I would trade for Bryant and Mathews. Don’t get me wrong, LeSean McCoy is probably the best running back in all of football and is certainly a top running back in fantasy. He’ll be just 26 heading in to the season but with the addition of Darren Sproles along with rookie receiver Jordan Matthews, his opportunities in the passing game will go down.
But as good as McCoy is, you can’t ignore the added production from, not just one, but two quality starters. An argument could be made that Dez Bryant is the top receiver in fantasy. He has a quality quarterback in a passing offense and is still only 25. He’s averaged over 90 catches, 1,300 yards and 12 touchdowns in each of the last two seasons. Dez for McCoy, straight up isn’t even that crazy.
But then you add Ryan Mathews who, while playing a whole season for the first time in 2013, finished as an RB1. And despite the Chargers adding Donald Brown, Mathews is still expected to be atop the depth chart.
To make it really simple just look at the numbers. According to Pro Football Focus, Mathews and Bryant combined for 385 standard fantasy points in 2013 compared to McCoy’s 280.
I think you pull the trigger.
We start QB, RB, WR, 3-Flex, Def & K., 0.5 PPR, bonus for 40+ yd catch/runs. No starting TE but we can flex one if we choose. Must start one RB and one WR and we can start RB/WR/TE as any of the 3 other Flex positions.
QB – Brady, G.Smith, C. Palmer
RB – M. Ball, A.Brown, J. Randle, B.Brown
WR – A.Jeffrey, E. Sanders, T. Williams, K. Stills, R. Wayne
Def – 49ers, STL
K – D. Bailey, N. Novak
Rookie/FA Draft I have 2nd & 7th overall picks
Should I accept the 3rd overall pick plus Steven Jackson for my 2nd overall pick?
That’s a tough one. Let’s break it down by position:
Quarterback – With Tom Brady at the helm, a quarterback isn’t necessary at 2, 3 or even 7. That will allow you to use both first round picks on a running back or receiver.
Running Back – You have your starter in Montee Ball but nothing else as far as a flex position. Both Browns and Randle are nothing more than backups. The question whether Steven Jackson will add some punch. Last year was a nightmare for Jackson as he was injured most of the year and averaged only 3.5 YPC. Now, he played behind a horrible line which is now vastly improved but he’s also 30 years old. Running back is definitely a need for you but, personally, I don’t think Steven Jackson is going to do it.
For your draft, if you consider our first rookie mock draft, you’ll have your pick of running backs at seven. You could go with an instant starter like Bishop Sankey or even Jackson’s backup Devonta Freeman who is impressing in minicamp.
Wide Receiver – You have a stud in Jeffery so there’s your starter. Emmanuel Sanders will be a great flex play now that he’s in Denver. You have a couple of guys that could fill in for one of the flex positions including Reggie Wayne or even Kenny Stills. That leaves you with one of the top receivers in this years rookie class, whoever is left of Mike Evans and Sammy Watkins. Both are elite prospects who should produce right away for you.
In conclusion, I don’t think the gap between a Watkins or Evans is that great over other receiver prospects like Odell Beckham or Brandin Cooks. But I have my doubts that Steven Jackson still has any gas left in the tank. I think you’d do well to get a Watkins/Evans plus a potential running back in your fist round.
- Bad news for Josh Gordon dynasty owners as he’s still expected to get the full 16-game ban that was reported before. Gordon can sit on taxi squads this year.
- Lions running back Joique Bell did not participate in OTA’s this week thanks a knee injury. It hasn’t been reported as serious but it’s something to monitor. Bell could end up as the better running back in Detroit for dynasty leaguers in 2014 and beyond.
- Important note for Russell Wilson dynasty owners – Terrelle Pryor could end up as the backup in Seattle. Pryor showed flashes of being decent in 2013 but will never be a long-term dynasty starter.
- Chargers receiver Malcolm Floyd should be cleared to play this season after a neck injury. Already 32, Floyd hold more re-draft value than dynasty but it could help draw attention away from rising star Keenan Allen.
- Former Browns receiver Greg Little was claimed off waivers by the Raiders. Little has talent but has never corralled it and joins a crowded receiving corps. His dynasty value is still pretty low.
- With Robert Mathis suspended the first four games, Bjeorn Werner will get first chance at replacing him in the starting lineup. Werner was drafted in the first round but didn’t match expectations his rookie year. This is likely a make-or-break situation for Werner.
- Former Rams running back Daryl Richardson was claimed by the Jets. He should be no higher than third on the depth chart.
- Those holding out hope for a Mike Goodson return can probably move on as he’s expected to be the odd man out in the Jets backfield.
- Colts linebacker Robert Mathis will be suspended the first four games of the year. Mathis is already 33 and playing with fire the longer he stays out there. Plan your IDP rosters accordingly.
- Giants end Damontre Moore was a hot commodity in rookie IDP dynasty drafts but didn’t do much in 2013. With Justin Tuck gone, Moore should step in to the starting job even after his shoulder heals.
I have the 28th overall pick and am looking at a couple of defensive players: Ha-Ha Clinton Dix, Calvin Pryor, or Louis Nix. But, Blake Bortles and Paul Richardson are still on the board and QB2 and depth at WR are a need. I don’t pick again until the 48th overall pick. Thoughts?
First the defensive players. Neither safety is an elite prospect in the Eric Berry-mold so I think you’re ok to pass on them here and believe you could snag one with that next pick. Nix is a defensive tackle who won’t put up a ton of sacks and won’t be a factor in dynasty.
Looking at offense, I just don’t see the value in Richardson. He’s currently fifth on the depth chart of a run-heavy team. He’s also coming off major knee injuries in 2011 and 2012.
I’d take Bortles if he’s still there. Yes, he’s the most raw of this years quarterback class but he has the size and smarts to be a dynasty asset. It’s very possible he sees little-to-no action this year but you figure he’s on a long leash in Jacksonville after investing that high of a pick in him. They also surrounded him with talent at the receiver position which will ease some of the growing pains.
In conclusion, quarterback is a premium position in real life and in dynasty leagues. Getting someone potentially as good as Bortles is a steal at 28.
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